Thursday, September 30, 2010

The Door Is Open

There is a door open. This door has been closed for quite a bit of time. Only 2 members had the ability to enter the exclusive room behind this closed door. A 3rd party attempted to walk through that door and gain membership, yet as soon as they entered, they were immediately given “the boot”. But as it stands, this year might be the year that a 3rd member is actually accepted.

In a division that has been completely dominated by the Sooners and Longhorns, there are 2 teams that face each other Thursday night in primetime with a chance to end that domination. The winner of that game has a legitimate shot at finally gaining membership to the exclusive club of Big 12 South Champions. The last time a team not named Texas or Oklahoma won the Big 12 South Bill Clinton was President, Y2K wasn’t even a concern yet, and Titanic just won the Academy Award for Best Picture.

In 2008, Texas Tech made a valiant attempt at infiltrating the stronghold of the aforementioned dominant programs, however, they were embarrassed by Oklahoma 65-17 in late November which ended all hope they had at representing the Big 12 South.

Well, it’s now 2010. And if there’s ever been a year to make it happen, this is it. Garrett Gilbert is no Vince Young or Colt McCoy. Landry Jones is no Sam Bradford or Jason White. Mike Leach has departed Lubbock. There’s no Roy Williams, no Adrian Peterson, no Jermaine Gresham, no Brian Orakpo, no Ricky Williams. And as UCLA showed the world on Saturday by spanking Texas 34-12 in Austin, there are no longer any strongholds in the division.

The 2 teams with the best shot at crashing the party face off tonight in a must win for both. Texas A&M enters tonight’s game riding a 3-0 record and touting a Heisman Trophy caliber QB in Jerrod Johnson. The running game has been the biggest area of improvement for the Aggies as they have 2 backs capable of going over 1,000 yards this year in Christine Michael (331 yards so far) and Cyrus Gray (188 yards so far). Defensively, they have added a new Defensive Coordinator to the staff in Tim DeRuyter. He has switched the base defense to a 3-4 which allows their All-American LB, Von Miller, to fully utilize his talents rushing off the edge.

Oklahoma State (3-0) was thought to be rebuilding this year after the departure of record holders Zac Robinson and Dez Bryant. But somebody forgot to tell that to the 2010 offense. New starting QB Bradon Weeden has already thrown for 11 TDs while completing 75% of his passes and WR Justin Blackmon has already caught 8 TDs. And that familiar face in the backfield is none other than Kendall Hunter. The 2008 All-Big 12 RB who had an injury riddled 2009 season is back at full strength. His 473 yards and 6 TDs highlights the ground game of the Cowboys.

This game might have flown under the radar of some people minds, but the fact is that the winner of this game will be in a prime position to challenge Oklahoma and Texas for the Big 12 South Division title. Thursday night games don’t get much bigger than this.

Wednesday, September 29, 2010

Here We Go...

As I was watching football on Saturday night, I saw one of those Bud Light Commercials. You know, the ones that start with a serious dilemma like a plane crash. Nobody knows how their going to overcome the issue at hand when suddenly a character in the commercial discovers a couple cases of Bud Light and somebody then inevitably says the beer company’s catch phrase: “Here we go”.

It got me to thinking. As I do with almost everything in life, I compared it to football. I related the first part of those commercials (the dilemma portion) to the first month of this season. The hectic, wild ride of non-conference play that provided us with some great matchups. It provided us with “Monster Saturday”. It provided us with UCLA over Texas and Miami over Pitt and Michigan over Notre Dame. The first 4 weeks has indeed been fun.

But…… Here we go.

Just as the commercial turns to a chaotic party of drunkenness, so does the season now turn to the chaotic beauty that is Conference Play. Gone are the dream matchups such as Ohio State vs. Miami and Florida State vs. Oklahoma. Now we start playing the part of the season that matters. No longer will teams be fighting the stranger at the bar. Instead teams will be fighting their next door neighbor, their brother-in-law, their parents.

Conference play puts an end to the first quarter of the season and it takes us into the month of October which is where inevitably the war of attrition truly begins. Slowly, but surely teams fall along the waste side. Upsets, injuries, coaches being fired. This is when the season and conference championship races really takes shape.

Sure there is an excitement about playing a team that you only play once every 20 years (e.g. USC vs. Minnesota). But there is something even more special about turning on the TV and seeing that matchup that has stayed consistent throughout the years. These are backyard brawls. Texas and Oklahoma start the brawling out in the Cotton Bowl on Saturday. Florida and Alabama will continue the bitter emotion well into the night. And so, it begins.

The glitz and glamour of the first quarter of the season is over.

Full fledged Conference Play is upon us.

Friday, September 24, 2010

Week 4 Upset Alerts

Last week, 3 of the 4 games that we called “Upset Alerts” came down to the last possession, with #9 Iowa losing to Arizona, #20 Michigan needing to recover an onside kick to beat UMass, and #7 Oklahoma hanging on to escape with a 3-point win against Air Force.

Here are the 3 teams this week that the CFB Kings are putting on Upset Alert:

#4 Texas - The last time the Longhorns hosted UCLA, they were smashed 66-3. Granted that game occurred the year before Mack Brown became the head coach, but there is valid reason for concern about this weeks Bruin visit in our eyes. First, the Texas offense has been spotty at best. Against Wyoming, Rice, and Texas Tech, the offense never was able to get the ground game going, which is something that Coach Brown promised they would be better at during the offseason. Sophomore QB Garrett Gilbert has the talent, but he still shows the expected signs of a youngster that has only started 3 games in his career. UCLA has a fresh sense of confidence after convincingly beating Houston on Saturday night. And oh by the way, after this game, Texas enters it’s most difficult 2 game stretch of the season. There is the matter of a little game called the Red River Rivalry next week and then after that Texas goes on the road to Lincoln to face a team who many have lauded as this year’s Big 12 favorite (The Cornhuskers of Nebraska). Can this young team focus enough to handle the task at hand or can a rejuvinated Bruin team steal a much needed signature win early in Rick Neuheisel’s tenure?

#20 Penn State - The Nittany Lions have played solid football up to this point in the season. Even in a loss to the #1 Alabama Crimson Tide, Penn State was able to move the ball against the tough SEC defense. To most people flipping through Saturday’s games, they’ll be stunned when they stumble upon a tight score in the fourth quarter of this contest. But we have reason to believe that Temple will challenge the Lions deep into this game. The Owls are 3-0. And last week they beat a UConn team that many experts (including Kirk Herbstriet) touted as the Pre-season Big East favorites. Heisman Darkhorse Bernard Pierce is a fierce runner that plays with a chip on his shoulder due to his lack of quality recruitment. And although we think that eventually true freshman QB Robert Bolden will be touted as the best QB in Penn State history, as of now he is still vulnerable to freshman mistakes… mistakes that an underrated and opportunistic Temple defense will pounce on.

#16 Stanford - While the records (3-0 vs. 1-2) and rankings (#16 vs. unranked) would say different, I think that this game will be MUCH closer than it looks on paper. Notre Dame is literally 2 plays away from being 3-0. The Irish have a steady QB in Dayne Crist and a defense that is improving each week, even though the results don’t necessarily show it. This will be Stanford’s first game outside of the state of California. A cross-country trip is never easy, but compounding the troubles of this trip is the expectation that the Cardinal will be without their best wide receiver, Ryan Whalen, who suffered an apparent left arm injury in last week’s game. And then there is the age old issue of the “look ahead”. Stanford travels to Autzen Stadium to face #5 Oregon next week. Can the young Cardinal team keep their focus in the here and now? I expect Notre Dame to earn their 2nd win of the season in an upset over the highly ranked Stanford Cardinal.

Thursday, September 23, 2010

Names You Should Know

Ryan Mallett. Denard Robinson. Mark Ingram. If you have even watched a remote amount of college football this season, then those are 3 names that you’ve heard at a constant rate. By this point in the season, the superstars are typically established. But after their performances in this weekends upcoming games, there are 3 new names that will be almost as widely discussed. Lucky for you, I’m gonna give you a head start on those 3 names.

Randall Cobb, WR/KR/QB/RB, Kentucky - Judging by his position title I’m sure you can surmise just how versatile this young man is. He has already produced touchdowns in 4 different ways this season (passing, receiving, punt return, and rushing). Arguably the most versatile player in the country, this Junior do-everything performer will get his chance to shine in the limelight as his Kentucky Wildcats visit the Florida Gators in the Swamp. If Kentucky is to have a chance at breaking their 23-year long losing streak to Florida, then Cobb must be at his best.

Joe Adams, WR, Arkansas - This former Running Back originally committed to USC in 2007. He subsequently changed that commitment to Arkansas after the hiring of Bobby Petrino and he has developed into one of the best big-play threats at the WR position in the country. He had an 85 yard TD catch in the season opener and then last week accounted for 130 yards on 6 catches in a hostile SEC environment (at Georgia). Ryan Mallett will look to test the young Alabama secondary early and often on Saturday, so expect Mr. Adams to have plenty of opportunities to make plays in front of a national TV audience.

Bernard Pierce, RB, Temple - The Sophomore Running Back burst onto the scene during his freshman season by tallying 1,361 yards and 16 TDs while leading Temple to a bowl game. And this year he has picked up where he left off. He’s averaging 5.4 yards per carry and notched 169 yards and 2 TDs in a stunning upset of UConn last week. The team has started 3-0, yet even with last year’s success, Temple has remained under the radar. On Saturday that all changes. The Owls head to Happy Valley for a matchup with #23 Penn State on national TV. If Temple pitches an upset bid, expect Pierce to be leading the charge.

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

Heisman Update

Week 3 was tough on a few of the pre-season favorites. Both Jake Locker (4 for 20 passing) and Case Keenum (torn ACL) are now out of the picture. And there are some new faces to replace them. Here is how CFB Kings sees the Heisman race heading into the 4th Weekend:

1. Denard Robinson, QB, Michigan - The frontrunner kept his torrid pace with a 241 yard passing and 104 yards rushing performance.

2. Terrelle Pryor, QB, Ohio St. - 235 yards passing and 2 TDs (also 1 rush TD) in light work against Ohio.

3. Ryan Mallett, QB, Arkansas - Threw a game-winning TD in the final minute to cap an impressive 380 yard day. His true test comes this week against Alabama.

4. Taylor Martinez, QB, Nebraska - 1 of 2 QBs trying their best to keep up with Robinson. Martinez had 3 rushing TDs at Washington.

5. Colin Kaepernick, QB, Nevada - In an upset of Cal, he tallied 181 yards passing yards, 148 rushing yards and 5 total TDs. Has 12 TDs on the season.

6. Lamichael James, RB, Oregon - One of the fastest guys in the country. Had 227 yards on 14 carries on Saturday.

7. Daniel Thomas, RB, Kansas St - The best RB in the Big 12 had 181 yards and 2 TDs in a win over Iowa State.

8. Cameron Newton, QB, Auburn - Had a rough night against a swarming Clemson defense. Still managed 2 TD passes and 68 yards rushing.

9. Brandon Weeden, QB. Oklahoma St. - Has burst onto the scene as a first-year starter. Threw for 409 yards and 6 TDs against Tulsa on Saturday. He has 975 yards and 11 TDs so far this year.

10. Demarco Murray, RB, Oklahoma - He continues to pile up yards and TDs. 148 total yards and 3 TDs against a stingy Air Force defense.

11. Kellen Moore, QB, Boise St - Had a typical big night against Wyoming. Needs a big performance in primetime this Saturday night against Oregon State.

12. Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford - 4 passing TDs and a 52 yard rushing TD highlighted Luck’s big night on Saturday.

13. Kendall Hunter, RB, Oklahoma St. - had a light night of duty against Tulsa. Only managed 59 yards on 11 carries.

14. Noel Devine, RB, West Virginia - The fastest RB in the Big East had his 3rd consecutive 100 yard game to open the season.

15. Marcus Lattimore, RB, South Carolina - The freshman bruiser had 97 yards and 1 TD in a tune-up game. He faces Auburn on Saturday night.

16. Ryan Broyles, WR, Oklahoma - Had his 3rd straight 100 yard game receiving.

17. John Clay, RB, Wisconsin - The most consistent back in the nation so far this year. Has 3 straight 100-yard games.

18. Nick Foles, QB, Arizona - Had 303 yards and 2 TDs in a big win over #9 Iowa. May be the best QB in the Pac-10.

19. Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU - The best CB in America boosted his chances for the award by having 2 ints in LSU’s home debut.

20. Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama - He’s back!!! 151 yards in the first half against an outmatched Duke.


Still have a Chance:
Dan Persa, QB, Northwestern
Christian Ponder, QB, Florida State
Jacory Harris, QB, Miami
Greg McElroy, QB, Alabama
Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama
Andy Dalton, QB, TCU
Kyle Parker, QB, Clemson
Stephen Garcia, QB, South Carolina
John Brantley, QB, Florida
Landry Jones, QB, Oklahoma
Jeff Demps, RB, Florida
Matt Barkley, QB, USC
Jerrod Johnson, QB, Texas A&M
Bernard Price, RB, Temple
Dayne Crist, QB, Notre Dame

Tuesday, September 21, 2010

BCS Bowl Predictions

We know its way to early to truly know who’s gonna be where. But based on what we’ve seen so far, here is our best prediction for how the BCS Bowls will shape up (we’ll do a full scale bowl prediction after week 5):

BCS Championship Game: Alabama vs. Ohio State

Orange Bowl: Miami vs. West Virginia

Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma vs. TCU

Rose Bowl: Oregon vs. Nebraska

Sugar Bowl: Florida vs. Boise State

Friday, September 17, 2010

Week 3 Upset Alert

Lots of solid games this weekend. Most of the favorites should win, but there are a few teams that need to listen to the sirens, because an Upset Alert is headed their way:

#7 Oklahoma - The Sooners were impressive against Florida State last Saturday in a 30 point win. Besides the obvious possibility of a letdown after such a hyped game, there is another reason for concern. The Sooners haven’t fared well against the MWC recently. We all recall their Week 1 loss to BYU last season and back in 2005, the Sooners lost their opener to TCU. Could a strong Air Force team that will control the time of possession upset Stoops Troops?

#4 TCU - Speaking of those Horned Frogs, they have truly gone from the hunter to the hunted. In an All-Texas affair, TCU will face the upstart Baylor Bears in Forth Worth, TX. While most people will scoff at this notion, they should recognize that this is the type of game where 1 superstar player can make all the difference. That possible superstar is Baylor’s Junior QB Robert Griffin III. If he gets it going early, the Bears have a chance.

#9 Iowa - The Hawkeyes have struggled recently against West Coast opponents on the road. They travel to Arizona to face the Wildcats on Saturday night. Not only will the Hawkeyes have to make a long road trip, but they will have to play one of the hottest offenses in America led by Heisman Trophy candidate Nick Foles.

#20 Michigan - After what we’ve seen in the first 2 weeks, people must think we’re crazy for including Michigan as a possible upset alert team when they are hosting the UMass Minutemen of the FCS division. But we all remember that 2007 home opener in which the Wolverines stumbled at the hands of FCS Appalachian State. Also, in an interesting side-note, UMass’s fellow Colonial Athletic Conference member, James Madison, rolled into Blacksburg last Saturday and upset #13 Virginia Tech. Hmmmmm….

We’re not saying that these teams will lose… we are just saying they better be wary.

Wednesday, September 15, 2010

Heisman Race So Far

After 2 weeks of football, we have a few new faces on the list and a few that we expected to be there. Here is how CFB Kings sees the Heisman race heading into the 3rd Weekend:

1. Denard Robinson, QB, Michigan - Could he become the 4th straight sophomore to win? Well, if he even remotely keeps up his pace, he is on track to become the first ever 2,000 yard passer/2,000 yards rusher in one season. Barring injury he might run away with this award (pun intended).

2. Terrelle Pryor, QB, Ohio St. - The pre-season favorite has performed on par with expectations and his big Week 2 win against the Miami Hurricanes solidified his candidacy.

3. Cameron Newton, QB, Auburn - The former Florida Gator has dominated defenses running Gus Malzahn’s spread attack. His 322 yards passing and 241 yards rushing are impressive.

4. Kendall Hunter, RB, Oklahoma St. - The former All-Big 12 selection (2008) is back to form. 414 yards and 6 TDs in 2 games.

5. Ryan Mallett, QB, Arkansas - He has dominated lesser competition to the tune of 701 yards and 6 TDs. Now he gets his first real test on the road at Georgia.

6. Kellen Moore, QB, Boise St - Virginia Tech losing to James Madison makes Boise’s win look a bit less impressive. But the Broncos signal caller is still a prime candidate.

7. Jerrod Johnson, QB, Texas A&M - The athletic Aggie Pro Prospect has 671 yards passing and 59 yards rushing in the first 2 games.

8. Daniel Thomas, RB, Kansas St - Has 371 yards and 4 Tds in 2 games.

9. Demarco Murray, RB, Oklahoma - The Senior has finally started a season in top health. It shows by his 311 total yards and 4 TDs so far.

10. Matt Barkley, QB, USC - The sophomore QB has 7 passing TDs to start the year. He should pile up stats agaist an overmatched Minnesota team this Saturday.

11. Marcus Lattimore, RB, South Carolina - The lone Freshman on the list got here with a 182 yard performance against Georgia.

12. Jake Locker, QB, Washington - After a disappointing Week 1 loss, Locker rebounded with a solid showing against Syracuse. A high profile matchup with Nebraska will either see him skyrocket or plummet in the contention.

13. Ryan Broyles, WR, Oklahoma - The only WR on the list has 266 yards and 3 TDs so far this year.

14. Jeff Demps, RB, Florida - As the Gators enter conference play, he has been the lone brightspot on an underachieving offense. Can he find the 100 yard mark at Tennessee?

15. Noel Devine, RB, West Virginia - Might be the best player in a talented Big East conference. 303 total yards and 2 TDs so far.

16. Landry Jones, QB, Oklahoma - He makes 3 Sooners on the list. 380 yards and 4 TDs against the Seminoles.

17. Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU - Intriguing prospect. His opening night performance against North Carolina which included a Punt Return TD has preliminarily perched him as this years Defensive Heisman Darkhorse. He’s somebody to keep an eye on.

18. John Clay, RB, Wisconsin - 260 yards and 4 TDs is a nice way to start a year. Can he keep it up come Big Ten play?

19. Taylor Martinez, QB, Nebraska - His 157 yards rushing and 101 yards passing this weekend was impressive enough to get notice. He might be the best dual-threat QB in America behind Robinson.

Dropped, but still on the radar:

Jacory Harris, QB, Miami - Even though only 1 of them was his fault, anytime you throw 4 interceptions in a primetime game, you have to drop on the list. The good news is that he has 3 more high profile games coming up against Pittsburgh, Clemson, and Florida State to rebound.

Christian Ponder, QB, FSU - Rough outing in Oklahoma (113 yards and 2 Ints) but can bounce back this week against BYU.

Case Keenum, QB, Houston - Needed to put up monster numbers all season to be considered. Still has time to rebound, but had a head injury and his status in uncertain.

Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford - Looked below average (11 for 24 passing) against rival UCLA. Needs to pick up his play to be considered.

Dropped, and are probably out of the running:

Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama - Missing 2 games wont help his chances. Especially considering that his backup has performed great.

Tyrod Taylor, QB, Virginia Tech - After a home loss to FBS James Madison, his darkhorse chances are probably over.

Dion Lewis, RB, Pittsburgh - Needed to have a quick start, but after a dismal showing in a loss to Utah, he could only manage 27 yards in a win against New Hampshire. Not the way to start a Heisman campaign.

Josh Nesbitt, QB, Georgia Tech - Was ineffective in a loss to Kansas.

Outside Chance:
Robert Griffin, QB, Baylor
Greg McElroy, QB, Alabama
Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama
Andy Dalton, QB, TCU
B.J. Daniels, QB, USF
Nick Foles, QB, Arizona
Kyle Parker, QB, Clemson
Stephen Garcia, QB, South Carolina
John Brantley, QB, Florida
Marc Tyler, RB, USC
Lamichael James, RB, Oregon

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

A Surprisingly Tasty Slate

To the naked eye, this weeks slate pales in comparison to last weeks proclaimed "Monster Saturday". But, for true College Football fans, there is PLENTY to be excited about. Here are just a few of the matchups that have my appetite primed:

#12 Arkansas vs. Georgia - The Razorbacks have their highest ranking since 2006. All of the offseason hype was surrounding Ryan Mallet and the chance they have to supplant Auburn, LSU, and Alabama as the perennial favorites in the SEC West. Well after 2 warmup games, they get their first true test against a Georgia team that is in a must win situation after their Week 2 loss at South Carolina. Are the Razorbacks really as good as advertised?

#21 West Virginia vs. Maryland - The Mountaineers escaped Marshall with an overtime victory. A team that was supposed to contend for the Big East title has looked extremely vulnerable in the first 2 weeks. Maryland provides an out of conference test against a young but excited 2-0 ACC team. WVU travels to Death Valley (LSU) next week, so a good showing here is vital to any hopes they have at being a national contender.

Georgia Tech vs. North Carolina - The ACC has been embarrassed during the first 2 weeks of the season. Both Georgia Tech and UNC lost out of conference matchups (to Kansas and LSU respectively). The winner of this game takes the driver’s seat in a competitive ACC race, while the loser will have trouble keeping its head above water.

#10 Florida vs. Tennessee - This has become one of the most exciting early season rivalry games in all of College Football. Florida seemed to “find itself” in the 2nd half of a win over USF last week. Now the Gators, led by John Brantley, hit the road for the first time. Can they start their SEC run out with a win?

#8 Nebraska vs. Washington - The Huskers go on the road with their new starting QB for the first time. Jake Locker has the chance to prove his Heisman worth in front of a national audience. Are the Huskers truly a title contender?

#7 Oklahoma vs. Air Force - The Sooners got a huge win against Florida State last week that put them squarely in the conversation for the National Championship. But, a hangover against Air Force will result in a loss. Air Force is 2-0 and has 3 players over 100 yards rushing this season already.

Florida State vs. BYU - Both teams were embarrassed last week, but both have the chance for big rebound wins. The ‘Noles annihilated the Cougars in Provo last year. Can Bronco Mendenhall’s team exact revenge in Tallahassee?

#4 TCU vs. Baylor - Most folks will brush this game off and Vegas has already made Baylor 21 point underdogs. But Bears QB Robert Griffin III is the type of player that can lead a team to an upset. This game could be one to watch as the afternoon shifts to evening.

#16 Auburn vs. Clemson - Tigers vs. Tigers. ACC vs. SEC. Primetime. Doesn’t get much better. Both teams are looking for a signature win early in the year. This will be most people’s first look at Heisman candidate Cam Newton, the dual-threat Auburn QB.

Notre Dame vs. Michigan State - Can Brian Kelly rebound from the heartbreaking loss to Michigan? It will be his first road trip as the Irish Head Coach.

#6 Texas vs. Texas Tech - Tommy Tuberville gets his indoctrination into Big 12 football from Mack Brown as the 2 clash for early season Texas supremacy. The last time the Longhorns traveled to Lubbock, the biggest upset in Red Raider history occurred. Is an encore on tap?

#9 Iowa vs. #24 Arizona - Iowa looks to show the nation that their Preseason Top 10 ranking is justified. Arizona looks to grab a statement win for the Pac-10. Wildcat QB Nick Foles could spring himself into the Heisman conversation with a winning performance.

Monday, September 13, 2010

Teams That Make You Say Hmmmmm....

There are 3 teams that started the season unranked, yet have had impressive wins in the first 2 weeks that have given them cause for excitement. For all 3 of these schools, the odds to represent their conference as champions has gone from average to great in a mere 9 day stretch. Conventional Wisdom says to take a “chill pill” as these teams have teased us before with their great starts. But you can’t help but be impressed.

- #13 South Carolina Gamecocks - Many people thought that this might be Spurrier’s best chance at South Carolina to win the SEC East and compete for the league title. With Tebow gone and Tennessee having a new coach, the door was open. Well, the Gamecocks have burst through that door… and after starting the season unranked, they are currently #13 in the latest AP Poll. They held the mighty Georgia Bulldogs to 6 points in a week 2 win. QB Stephen Garcia has produced equitably through the air and more importantly only has 1 turnover (a fumble). Also, True Freshman RB Marcus Lattimore has rushed for 236 yards and 4 TDs in his first 2 collegiate games. After beating Georgia, they have a leg up in the SEC East race. Is this finally South Carolina’s breakthrough year??? Hmmmmm….

- #19 Stanford Cardinal - Many pundits, including myself, wondered how the Cardinal would deal with the loss of Heisman runner-up Toby Gerhart. Well, they dealt with it by smashing UCLA in Pasadena, 35-0. Even though UCLA isn’t the cream of the crop of the Pac-10, this game was a statement win for Stanford. Heisman candidate Andrew Luck has been solid and the Cardinal defense seems to have taken on the blue-collar mentality of their coach. Their next 4 games are against Wake Forest, Notre Dame, Oregon, and USC, so we will revisit this team again in 4 weeks to see if they really belong in the national picture, but for now, they make you say hmmmmmm….

- #20 Michigan Wolverines - Denard Robinson. Enough said. In what has been by far the best 2 game stretch of any player that we’ve seen in recent college football, the Michigan QB has thrown for 430 yards and rushed for 455 yards, which includes 5 TDs. After a challenging start, the Wolverines enter a soft spot in the schedule and they wont be tested again until Week 6 against Michigan State. They will enter that game 5-0 and by then could be knocking on the door of the Top 10. Is the Rich Rodriguez investment finally paying off??? Hmmmmm….

Thursday, September 9, 2010

Week 2 Upset Alert

We’ll start our conversation this week with our Upset Alerts. There are 3 teams that better have their eyes Wide Open this Saturday and all 3 games involve SEC teams:

- #1 Alabama Crimson Tide - Some people might think this one is far fetched, particularly because Penn State will be starting a True Freshman QB (Robert Bolden). But Bolden is not the player that will be the most critical for the Nittany Lions. RB Evan Royster has all but been forgotten by most of America, yet he still has the talent to be one of the best RBs in the country. The Crimson Tide will once again be without star DT and NFL 1st Round prospect Marcell Dareus. If the Penn State O-Line can get nasty and create a few openings for Royster, it could really get them out to a good start. Then, utilizing a heavy dose of play-action passes, Bolden could take advantage of the young Bama secondary who is still shaky trying replacing 2 All-SEC CBs from 2009.

- #8 Florida Gators - By now, everyone has heard how poorly the Florida offense played in Week 1, only managing 26 first half yards against a Miami (OH) team that had all of 1 win in 2009. That poor offensive play included 13 botched shotgun snaps between C Mike Pouncey and QB John Brantley. The defense was stout, as expected, but if the offense could only manage 26 yards in a half against a poor team, how will it produce against the most athletic team in the Big East? The South Florida Bulls pack quite a larger punch than Miami (OH) and in the past 3 years, USF has upset ranked powerhouses West Virginia (2007, 2009), FSU (2009), and Auburn (2007). Could #8 Florida be the next victim?

- #7 Oregon Ducks - The Ducks went wild in week 1, beating New Mexico 72-0. They clicked on all cylinders and completely dismantled an inferior opponent. Now they take their high scoring show on the road to one of the biggest stadiums in all of sports: Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, TN which will have more than 100,000 fans screaming Rocky Top on Saturday night. A lot of people will think I’m crazy with this one considering how talented Oregon is. But keep in mind, Tennessee is an SEC team and although they haven’t done great in their own conference over the past few years, they still have been recruiting Top notch southern talent and speed, so they will matchup with the Ducks better than almost any opponent on their 2010 Pac-10 schedule. Furthermore, this will be Sophomore Oregon QB Darron Thomas’s first career road start. Lastly, but also most importantly, Tennessee’s defense is coached by Justin Wilcox. Many of you will say “Who’s that?” Well, Wilcox just happens to be the former 2009 Boise State defensive coordinator. And if you recall he lead a unit that completely shut down Oregon’s fast paced attack and held them to 8 points in a early season upset (and that was with Heisman hopeful Jeremiah Masoli as the starter). Can he pull off the same magic on Saturday?

Wednesday, September 8, 2010

Legendary Broncos Aren't the One's You're Thinking Of...

When a football fan is asked to list “Legendary Broncos”, the names John Elway, Terrell Davis, Gary Zimmerman, Floyd Little, Tom Jackson, Steve Atwater, Champ Bailey, Rod Smith, and Shannon Sharpe are a few of the people that come to mind. You might even be inclined to mention a couple of the legendary coaches like Mike Shanahan and Dan Reeves. But after 2010, I predict that at least 3 new names will be added to that “Legendary Broncos” list:

Kellen Moore
Austin Pettis
Chris Petersen

Yes, you read that correctly and unless you’ve been living under a rock for the past 3 days, then you know exactly who they are.

I have long been a believer that the Non-BCS teams just simply would not and could not consistently beat BCS programs. Coming into College Footballs much anticipated 2010 Week 1, I predicted that there was no way that all 4 of the Non-BCS powers (Utah, Boise St., TCU, and BYU) could survive a weekend in which they would be playing 4 teams that many pundits thought would vie for their respective conference championships. But in a weekend where Florida looked average, Texas looked human, and USC looked mediocre, those 4 Non-BCS teams looked like the dominant programs across college footballs vast landscape. Utah defeated the preseason Big East favorite #18 Pittsburgh in overtime. BYU outslugged Heisman hopeful Jake Locker and the Washington Huskies. TCU stopped last years Pac-10 runner up Oregon State. And saving the best for last, the Boise State Broncos put the icing on the cake by defeating Virginia Tech in front of a Fed Ex Field crowd that was easily made up of 80% Hokie fans (a virtual road game for Boise).

After seeing the Broncos in person on Monday night, I came to a realization that this is a team and a program that no longer fits the title of “Non-BCS” or “Non-AQ” and it may have been that way for longer than I realized. The talent, the size, the coaching, the discipline, the speed, and most impressively the swagger that the Broncos brought to the stadium fits the mold of a team that has earned their way into the ranks of the elite and has EVERY intention of staying there.

Junior QB Kellen Moore catapulted himself to the Top 5 of the list of Heisman front-runners with his poise and efficiency when the game was on the line. WR Austin Pettis had 2 TD receptions, including the game winner, against an ACC defense that has been one of the best in the nation for the past 10 years. He also had a blocked punt against the perennial best special teams unit in America. And carrying the Blue-Collar mentality of their Head coach Chris Petersen, the Broncos KO’d the thoughts of every critic, including myself, with their 2nd consecutive opening game win over a Top 10 BCS school.

I still hold reservation on the assumption that Boise St. could win 11 games against an SEC schedule that consisted of LSU, Auburn, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and Tennessee or a Big Ten Schedule that would see them face Ohio State, Iowa, Wisconsin, Penn State, and Michigan. But, the light that was shed on my pigskin loving eyes Monday night showed me a team that could and would certainly compete with every program in America on a 1-game basis. And for now, that’s good enough.

We are only through week 1, so, there is much football to be played. But the next time someone asks you to name some of the best Broncos to ever play the game, make sure your list includes a few of the gentleman that call Boise, Idaho their home.

Wednesday, September 1, 2010

Q & A

Our next question comes from Big Hastie in Florida.

Q: I don't understand how you have Tyrod Taylor and Noel Devine higher than Ryan Williams in the Heisman rankings. Just would like to know your reasoning behind that.

A: Excellent Question. The reasoning that we have behind leaving Ryan Williams out of our Top 20 is the same reason that we don’t have Mark Ingram repeating as the Heisman Trophy winner: Lack of carries. There is no doubt that Sophomore Ryan Williams is one of the most talented running backs in America. He proved it last year with his 1,655 yards and 21 TDs. If he were to repeat that performance then he’d certainly be in contention. But fellow sophomore Darren Evans is returning to the backfield for the Hokies after running for a then freshman record 1,265 yards in 2008. After missing all of 2009 with an ACL injury, reports are that Evans is back at full strength and will share carries with Williams. Also, a 3rd back, David Wilson, who rushed for 334 yards as a backup in 2009 will garner carries throughout the season. All in all, I think that Virginia Tech will have one of the Top 3 backfields in the country and Ryan Williams will certainly be a star, but because of the wide ranging talent, I don’t think he will get enough carries to put up the numbers to win the award.

The reason we have RBs like Demarco Murray and Noel Devine higher than Williams is because they will be the lone feature backs on Conference Championship contending teams. They should both average 25+ carries per game giving them a better chance to put up huge numbers.

As always, send your questions to TheCFBGuru@gmail.com and we will be sure to answer.

CFB Kings 2010 Bowl Predictions

BCS Championship Game: Miami vs. Oklahoma

Orange Bowl: Iowa vs. Florida

Sugar Bowl: LSU vs. West Virginia

Rose Bowl: Ohio St. vs. Oregon

Fiesta Bowl: Texas vs. North Carolina

Capital One Bowl: Wisconsin vs. Alabama

Cotton Bowl: Nebraska vs. South Carolina

Champs Sports Bowl: Florida St. vs. Pittsburgh

Gator Bowl: Notre Dame vs. Arkansas

Outback Bowl: Michigan vs. Auburn

Chick Fil-A Bowl: Georgia vs. Virginia Tech

Mieneke Car Care Bowl: Clemson vs. UConn

Holiday Bowl: Texas A&M vs. Oregon St.

Sun Bowl: Arizona vs. Georgia Tech

Dallas Football Classic Bowl: Penn State vs. Missouri

Birmingham Bowl: Rutgers vs. Ole Miss

Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl: Boise St. vs. UCLA

GMAC Bowl: Troy vs. Temple

Liberty Bowl: Tennessee vs. Houston

Music City Bowl: Kentucky vs. Boston College

Pinstripe Bowl: Kansas vs. Cincinnati

Armed Forces Bowl: TCU vs. East Carolina

Alamo Bowl: Washington vs. Oklahoma State

Texas Bowl: Texas Tech vs. Michigan State

Eagle Bank Bowl: Duke vs. SMU

Insight Bowl: Baylor vs. Tulsa

Independence Bowl: Navy vs. Utah

Little Caesars Bowl: Northern Illinois vs. Army

Hawaii Bowl: Fresno State vs. Stanford

Poinsettia Bowl: Air Force vs. California

Las Vegas Bowl: Northwestern vs. BYU

St Petersburg Bowl: South Florida vs. UCF

New Orleans Bowl: Middle Tennessee St. vs. FAU

Humanitarian Bowl: Nevada vs. Central Michigan

New Mexico Bowl: Wyoming vs. Idaho